Somerset Weather · Hyper-local Forecast

Frost Advisoryuntil 9 AM Monday
Frost Advisory issued October 18 at 1:04PM EDT until October 19 at 9:00AM EDT by NWS Northern Indiana
Details from the National Weather Service
* WHAT...Temperatures as low as 35 will result in frost formation.

* WHERE...Portions of northern Indiana and northwest Ohio.

* WHEN...From 1 AM EDT /midnight CDT/ to 9 AM EDT /8 AM CDT/ Monday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could harm sensitive outdoor vegetation. Sensitive
outdoor plants may be killed if left uncovered.

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

Right now live

--
connecting to the station…

Fronts: none expected this week.

Station records and climate

The forecast in words

This evening: Clear. The high of has probably been reached. South wind around 5 mph.

Tonight: Clear, with a low around . South wind around 5 mph. Patchy frost possible.

The whole week in words · Why: the forecast discussion

Today

Daytime high
± 1
High so far 68°. Updated with the station.
8 AM forecast 63°
Rain chance 5%

Tonight

Overnight low
± 3
Rain chance 8%
Frost 58%

Monday

Daytime high
± 3
Rain chance 5%

How we did

Yesterday's high: we said 54.8°, it reached 55.8° (1.0° warmer than we said). NWS said 54.0°, WxSim 60.2°.

Last night's low: we said 31.5°, it got down to 31.5°, right on. NWS said 31.0°, WxSim 29.5°.

Graded on the forecast each source had out before the period began. The scoreboard · Miss review

Today's high and tonight's low, tracked live Tested

Station, measured Our forecast Its 80% range Live adjusted high / low Now

The dashed line is the forecast we issued before each high or low window began, kept fixed so you can see how the day compares with it. Once the window starts, the high or low is adjusted for how warm or cool the day is running against that line. Tested on a past year, by 3 PM this cut the typical miss on the day's high from 1.6° to 0.6°, and by 3 AM the miss on the night's low from 1.7° to 1.0°. The ± is the range that held 8 times in 10 at that hour.

The next 24 hours every 3 hours

Temperature follows our forecast where we have it, the model blend elsewhere. Sky and wind are the model blend. "Rain in runs" is the share of about 120 ensemble model runs showing rain in those 3 hours. It runs higher than what reaches the station's gauge, so the rain chance on the cards above, calibrated against the gauge, is the one to plan by.

The week ahead

Over the next week, highs range from 68° on Monday to 71° on Wednesday. No period looks likely to be wet; the best chance is Saturday night, at 13%.

Today
frost 58%
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat 13% rain

Each bar runs from the night's low to the day's high; the faint band behind it is our 80% range. Rain is the higher of the day and night chances. Frost is shown when its chance is 30% or more.

Around us right now airports

    The automated airports within 45 miles (Marion, Kokomo, Grissom, Huntington, Logansport, Rochester, Fort Wayne, Muncie, Anderson, Warsaw), read every 15 minutes and weighted toward Somerset by distance. "Upwind" compares the airports the wind is blowing from with our own station: air on its way here.